Fall, 2002
The
Russian agreement to the U.S.-initiated agreement to cut
their strategic nuclear forces by two-thirds is astounding,
given that this is playing directly into U.S. plans for
global supremacy. For one thing, the U.S. is not going to
actually destroy but only shelve the above cuts, at any
time able to retrieve them from storage. The Russian nuclear
military regime, on the other hand, is in shambles. Retrieval
for them will be more difficult. At the same time, the Russians
are actually requesting U.S. assistance to rationalize their
nuclear regime, providing the U.S. with important intelligence
data, such as the stored missile site.
But even worse, the basic motive of the U.S. in initiating
these strategic missile cuts is to improve the effectiveness
of their anti-ballistic missile defences, radically reducing
the number of targets comprising a Russian attack on the
U.S. Given the U.S. basic counterforce strategy, we are
moving into a time when mutual assured destruction between
the two major nuclear powers is becoming an American monopoly,
altering the mutual to the unilateral. Do the Russians really
believe that the land-based missile defences being constructed
in Alaska and the new Northern Command are directed to an
attack by Iraq ?
The only possible rationale for the Russian position is
that they are confident that they can develop a variety
of penetrating aids for their strategic missiles which will
distract, confuse and overcome U.S. missile defences. We
would then be entering a new dynamic of the nuclear arms
race between anti-missiles and anti-anti-missiles. Given
the disarray of the Russian nuclear regime and their general
economic problems, the latter may be a vain hope.
Thus we are left to conclude that the Russian position is
inexplicable. They had the opportunity to tie strategic
missile reductions in exchange for the U.S. to uphold the
Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty. Could it just have
been the mighty U.S. dollar that denied them this option?
For example, we know they desperately require assistance
to clean up their vast nuclear reserves consisting of huge
amounts of radioactive waste, large numbers of tactical
weapons and stockpiles of weapons grade nuclear materials
comprising an open invitation for accidents or acts of malice
of one kind or another.
Also we are witnessing an increasing U.S. presence in the
former Soviet republics that surround Russia, at some future
time representing a direct threat. And finally, we cannot
understand Russia’s lack of response at being identified
as one of the seven enemy states to be targeted with nuclear
weapons in the U.S. 2002 Nuclear Posture Review, let alone
the existing U.S. Single Integrated Operational Plan (SIOP),
a nuclear hit list against Russian targets of value. And
surely they are aware of the U.S. first disarming strike
policy.
Putin can still recoup a major diplomatic victory by supporting
the forthcoming Space Preservation Treaty. Both Russia and
China have expressed their opposition to the U.S. abrogation
of the Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty of 1972. Together
Canada, Russia and China could have a very positive impact
on the success of the Treaty. The Space Preservation Treaty,
initiated by Congressman Dennis Kucinich (D-Ohio), is being
circulated to every nation-state leader. It can be immediately
signed and sent to the U.N. Secretary Generals office as
Treaty Depositary, and ratified quickly.
The Space Preservation Treaty is an international companion
to legislation introduced by Kucinich in the U.S. House
of Representatives, H.R. 3616, the Space Preservation Act
of 2002, in January, 2002 (to be reintroduced in 2003).
Both the Treaty and the bill ban all space-based weapons
and the use of weapons designed to destroy any object in
space that is in orbit. It also immediately terminates research,
development, testing, manufacturing, and deployment of all
space-based weapons, but does not prohibit space exploration,
R&D, testing, production, manufacturing and deployment
of any civil, commercial or defense activities in space
that are not related to space-based weapons, thus reserving
space for the benefit of all living things on our small
planet. This Treaty will also be verifiable. It requires
that an outer space peacekeeping agency be established to
monitor and enforce the ban.
The momentum of getting this Treaty supported and passed
into law has begun, and this ban on space-based weapons
can become reality in 2003.
This world treaty will fill the legal void left by the abrogation
of the ABM Treaty. It will replace the ABM Treaty. With
the support of Canada, Russia and China a large majority
of members of the United Nations would likely sign on to
the Treaty, as most nation-state leaders have already expressed
support for preserving space for weapons-free peaceful,
cooperative purposes.
The European Union (with the exception of Britain) are likely
signatories. Isolating the United States and exposing its
unilateralism and contempt for the rest of the world is,
in itself, a lofty goal. A possible change in the balance
of power in the U.S. Congress and a strong contender for
a president in 2004 devoted to strength through peace rather
than the reverse, who could establish the Treaty as Universal
Law and save the world from an inevitable nuclear catastrophe.
In conclusion, the Space Preservation Treaty is one of the
most important initiatives of our time. It is truly worthy
of our support. Let us all begin by moving Canada to be
an early signatory.
For detailed information on the Space Preservation Treaty,
contact ICIS.
Award-winning F.H. Knelman, Ph.D. is author of over
500 articles, papers and studies on commons security, environment,
energy, and science and technology. He can be reached at: